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ONDS · Analysis updated Nov 6, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Why is Ondas Holdings (ONDS) stock moving?
ONDS has fallen sharply into earnings. It closed at $4.52 on Nov 5, down 14.2% on the day and about 37% from the $7.08 intraday high on Oct 29. It set a new 52-week low of $4.375 on volume of roughly 65M shares, above the recent average of about 60M. The slide began on Oct 30 and accelerated over Nov 2-5, even though fundamentals look strong on paper. Q3 revenue is guided to $140M-$155M, up from $83.8M in Q2. Backlog was about $613M at the end of Q2. Management reported more than $165M of orders through Oct 1, and cash was about $1.4B at the end of Q2. Against this, short interest is very high at 47.1% of float, and expenses and dilution concerns weigh on the stock. The company missed EPS estimates in most recent quarters. Analyst targets are far above the price, at about $13-$25. A rebound of about 15% on Nov 6 in some reports suggests a volatile, oversold bounce. The Nov 12 earnings report is the key catalyst. A revenue result inside guidance, plus a confirmed profitability path, could trigger a squeeze. A miss or fresh dilution could extend the decline.
News behind the analysis
- Ondas Surges 15% as Drone Stocks Rebound Ahead of Its Earnings ReportDrone stocks bounced after a post-election selloff, with Ondas leading on fresh contract news. The stock is still down about 47% year to date.
- Ondas to Report Q3 Earnings: Can Orders and Acquisitions Fuel Growth?Q3 revenue guidance is $140M-$155M. Ondas reported more than $165M in orders from mid-August through Oct 1, and now targets platform adjusted EBITDA profitability by Q4 2026.
- Ondas (ONDS) Set to Release Quarterly Earnings on ThursdayAnalysts expect a Q3 loss of $0.129 per share on revenue of $148.04M, to be reported Nov 12. The stock's 50-day average is $7.01 and the consensus rating is Moderate Buy.
- Ondas Inc. (ONDS) Stock Price, News, Quote & HistoryONDS closed at $4.52 on Nov 5, down 14.23% on about 64M shares, and hit a new 52-week low of $4.375. Pre-market on Nov 6 showed a bounce of 5.53%.
- ONDS Stock Price, News & AnalysisShort interest stands at 253.9M shares, or 47.1% of the float, up 11.1% from the prior period.
- Ondas to Report Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results on November 12, 2026Ondas will report Q3 results on Nov 12 with a call at 8:30 a.m. ET.
- What Is The Case For Waiting On Ondas Stock?The price already assumes Q3 revenue of about $151M, and the full-year revenue target is $525M-$550M. Past post-earnings moves were mixed: +8.1%, -13.5% and +1.0%.
- Ondas NewsCompany news includes the Aran Defense acquisition and a push into the $250M FEMA counter-drone grant program.
- Ondas Q3 2026 Earnings Date, Time & EstimatesLast quarter Ondas missed EPS estimates but beat on revenue. It has beaten EPS consensus in only 2 of its last 8 quarters.